· Analysis updated 14:07 UTC
RAAL La Louvière vs Rochefort Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for RAAL La Louvière and 1.72 for Rochefort, a combined total of 3.20. That distribution gives Rochefort the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
66.6% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.72
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RAAL La Louvière home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Rochefort away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rochefort to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 33% / 23% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for RAAL La Louvière and 1.72 for Rochefort, a combined 3.20 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
57%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.4%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 0–17.0%
- 2–26.6%
Recent form
RAAL La Louvière
- 2026-10-02T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Dunkerque · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs OH Leuven · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-13T17:15:00.000Z · H vs Kortrijk · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T18:45:00.000Z · A vs St. Truiden · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-08-29T14:00:00.000Z · H vs KV Mechelen · 2-2 (D)
Rochefort
- 2026-09-27T14:00:00.000Z · H vs K. Lierse S.K. · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Charleroi II · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Onhaye · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Tubize · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Habay-la-Neuve · 4-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 66.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.