Belgium · Super League Women · Matchweek 316:00

3 – 2

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Gent WLLLLL

· Analysis updated 05:04 UTC

RAAL La Louviere W vs Gent W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.25 expected goals for RAAL La Louviere W and 0.50 for Gent W, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives RAAL La Louviere W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

RAAL La Louviere W win

77.4% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.25 – 0.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Gent W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates RAAL La Louviere W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 77% / 16% / 7% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.25 goals for RAAL La Louviere W and 0.50 for Gent W, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 35%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.

Match result (1X2)

RAAL La Louviere W win77%
Draw16%
Gent W win7%

Double chance 1X

93%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

23%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score35%

Correct score

  • 2–016.2%
  • 1–014.4%
  • 3–012.1%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–17.2%

Recent form

RAAL La Louviere W

    Gent W

    • 2026-10-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Club Brugge W · 0-5 (L)
    • 2026-10-17T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 1-4 (L)
    • 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Zulte-Waregem W · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Genk W · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 2-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Anderlecht W76011418
    2Club Brugge W75201117
    3OH Leuven W73311212
    4Genk W7322011
    5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
    6Standard Liege W7304-89
    7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
    8Gent W7007-200

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is RAAL La Louviere W win, at 77.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

    A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.