Belgium · Super League Women · Matchweek 111:30

1 – 0

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 16:06 UTC

RAAL La Louviere W vs Zulte-Waregem W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for RAAL La Louviere W and 1.02 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined total of 2.77. That distribution gives RAAL La Louviere W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

RAAL La Louviere W win

54.5% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Zulte-Waregem W away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates RAAL La Louviere W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 24% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.75 goals for RAAL La Louviere W and 1.02 for Zulte-Waregem W, a combined 2.77 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 53%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

RAAL La Louviere W win55%
Draw24%
Zulte-Waregem W win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

46%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.6%
  • 0–16.4%

Recent form

RAAL La Louviere W

    Zulte-Waregem W

    • 2026-10-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Gent W · 3-1 (W)
    • 2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Standard Liege W · 3-4 (L)
    • 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Anderlecht W · 0-2 (L)
    • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Club Brugge W · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-09-05T11:30:00.000Z · A vs RAAL La Louviere W · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Super League Women table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Anderlecht W76011418
    2Club Brugge W75201117
    3OH Leuven W73311212
    4Genk W7322011
    5RAAL La Louviere W7232-19
    6Standard Liege W7304-89
    7Zulte-Waregem W7106-83
    8Gent W7007-200

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is RAAL La Louviere W win, at 54.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

    A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.