Rače vs Fužinar Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.80 expected goals for Rače and 2.02 for Fužinar, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Fužinar the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Draw/Away

64.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.80 – 2.02

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rače home form
6 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Fužinar away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Fužinar to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 35% / 21% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.80 goals for Rače and 2.02 for Fužinar, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rače win35%

Draw21%

Fužinar win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

1–28.1%
1–18.0%
2–27.2%
2–17.2%
1–35.4%

Recent form

Rače

2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Limbuš Pekre · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-03T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Ljutomer · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Podvinci · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Čarda Martjanci · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-11T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Videm · 1-2 (L)

Fužinar

2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Korotan Prevalje · 4-4 (D)
2026-09-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs NK Ormoz · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Hajdina · 4-2 (W)
2026-09-12T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Šampion Celje · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-06T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Odranci · 3-5 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. SNL - East table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Odranci	9	7	2	0	16	23
2	Fužinar	9	6	1	2	11	19
3	Šmartno	9	5	1	3	4	16
4	NK Ormoz	9	5	1	3	4	16
5	Hajdina	10	4	4	2	3	16
6	Čarda Martjanci	9	4	3	2	7	15
7	Videm	10	4	2	4	-2	14
8	Podvinci	10	4	2	4	-4	14
9	Korotan Prevalje	9	2	5	2	1	11
10	Rače	9	2	4	3	0	10
11	Dobrovce	9	3	0	6	-11	9
12	Ljutomer	10	2	2	6	-4	8
13	Limbuš Pekre	9	1	2	6	-15	5
14	Šampion Celje	9	1	1	7	-10	4

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 64.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.