Estadio La Pedrera · Referee S. Zunino · Analysis updated 23:09 UTC
Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.75 expected goals for Racing Club and 1.75 for Belgrano Cordoba, a combined total of 3.50. That distribution gives Racing Club the largest share of the 1X2 market at 39%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 39% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
61.2% probability
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Racing Club home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Belgrano Cordoba away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
61%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
61%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–19.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–18.1%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–15.3%
Recent form
Racing Club
- 2026-10-18T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Independiente · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-11T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Belgrano Cordoba · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-05T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-27T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Boca Juniors · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-19T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Sarmiento Junin · 3-1 (W)
Belgrano Cordoba
- 2026-10-18T23:15:00.000Z · H vs River Plate · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-10-11T22:15:00.000Z · A vs Racing Club · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-10-04T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Talleres Cordoba · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:45:00.000Z · A vs Sarmiento Junin · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-19T22:15:00.000Z · Racing Club 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba (Copa Argentina)
- 2026-03-22T01:15:00.000Z · Racing Club 2-1 Belgrano Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2025-07-20T22:00:00.000Z · Racing Club 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2025-01-30T22:15:00.000Z · Racing Club 4-0 Belgrano Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2024-05-12T20:45:00.000Z · Racing Club 4-4 Belgrano Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2024-04-17T22:30:00.000Z · Racing Club 4-0 Belgrano Cordoba (Copa de la Liga Profesional)
- 2023-11-28T00:30:00.000Z · Racing Club 4-1 Belgrano Cordoba (Copa de la Liga Profesional)
- 2023-01-28T22:15:00.000Z · Racing Club 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2019-03-16T23:00:00.000Z · Racing Club 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina)
- 2018-03-31T00:15:00.000Z · Racing Club 2-2 Belgrano Cordoba (Liga Profesional Argentina)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 61.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
A 61% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.