Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · Apertura - 919:00
Racing ClubDLWWL

0 – 0

Sunday, 3 May 2026

HuracanLLLWW

Estadio Presidente Perón · Referee L. Rey Hilfer · Analysis updated 21:28 UTC

Racing Club vs Huracan Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.88 expected goals for Racing Club and 1.23 for Huracan, a combined total of 2.10. That distribution gives Huracan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 35% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

73.6% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.88 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Racing Club home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Huracan away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 9 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Racing Club win26%
Draw29%
Huracan win44%

Double chance 1X

56%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 0–115.0%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–012.2%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–29.2%

Recent form

Racing Club

  • 2026-10-18T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Independiente · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-10-11T22:15:00.000Z · H vs Belgrano Cordoba · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-05T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-27T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Boca Juniors · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T00:15:00.000Z · H vs Sarmiento Junin · 3-1 (W)

Huracan

  • 2026-10-25T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Rosario Central · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-15T23:00:00.000Z · H vs Gimnasia L.P. · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-10T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Barracas Central · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T17:45:00.000Z · H vs Aldosivi · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T22:00:00.000Z · A vs River Plate · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-14T00:30:00.000Z · Racing Club 1-2 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2026-05-03T19:00:00.000Z · Racing Club 0-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2025-09-19T22:00:00.000Z · Racing Club 2-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2025-03-08T22:15:00.000Z · Racing Club 0-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2024-08-03T23:30:00.000Z · Racing Club 0-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2023-09-09T23:10:00.000Z · Racing Club 3-5 Huracan (Copa Argentina)
  • 2023-04-01T22:30:00.000Z · Racing Club 2-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2022-06-05T00:30:00.000Z · Racing Club 2-0 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)
  • 2021-12-05T00:30:00.000Z · Racing Club 0-1 Huracan (Liga Profesional Argentina)

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.169431231
2Boca Juniors168621330
3Velez Sarsfield16772628
4Talleres Cordoba16754426
5Independiente16664424
6Lanus16664324
7San Lorenzo16574022
8Union Santa Fe16565421
9Instituto Cordoba16637021
10Defensa Y Justicia16475-319
11Gimnasia M.16547-819
12Platense16376-516
13Central Cordoba de Santiago16448-1016
14Newells Old Boys16367-1215
15Deportivo Riestra16187-711
1Independ. Rivadavia1610421434
2River Plate169251029
3Argentinos JRS16853429
4Rosario Central16844428
5Belgrano Cordoba16754426
6Gimnasia L.P.16826026
7Huracan16574422
8Racing Club16565221
9Barracas Central16565021
10Tigre16484320
11Sarmiento Junin16619-719
12Banfield16538-218
13Atletico Tucuman16358-514
14Aldosivi16088-138
15Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto161213-195
1Instituto Cordoba139221029
2Defensa Y Justicia14833727
3Boca Juniors13661724
4Lanus14734724
5Velez Sarsfield13661524
6Newells Old Boys14563321
7Gimnasia M.14626120
8Independiente13544-119
9San Lorenzo14536-518
10Estudiantes L.P.13427114
11Union Santa Fe13427-414
12Platense14356-614
13Deportivo Riestra13265-312
14Central Cordoba de Santiago13247-710
15Talleres Cordoba14239-99
1Rosario Central148421128
2Argentinos JRS13742625
3Gimnasia L.P.14743325
4Belgrano Cordoba13643422
5Sarmiento Junin14635121
6River Plate13625520
7Barracas Central13544119
8Huracan14545-219
9Independ. Rivadavia13544-419
10Atletico Tucuman14455017
11Banfield14356-514
12Tigre14347-313
13Racing Club13337-612
14Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto13238-99
15Aldosivi13229-88

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 73.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 35%.

A 74% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.