France · National 3 - Group D · Group D - 2416:00

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Saturday, 25 April 2026

Stade Léo Lagrange · Analysis updated 14:27 UTC

Racing Colombes 92 vs Brétigny Foot Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.55 expected goals for Racing Colombes 92 and 0.66 for Brétigny Foot, a combined total of 3.21. That distribution gives Racing Colombes 92 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 14%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Racing Colombes 92 win

78.1% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.55 – 0.66

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Racing Colombes 92 home form

    2 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Racing Colombes 92 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 14% / 8% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.55 goals for Racing Colombes 92 and 0.66 for Brétigny Foot, a combined 3.21 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 45%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Match result (1X2)

Racing Colombes 92 win78%
Draw14%
Brétigny Foot win8%

Double chance 1X

92%

Double chance 12

86%

Double chance X2

22%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams to score45%

Correct score

  • 2–013.1%
  • 3–011.1%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 3–17.4%

Recent form

Racing Colombes 92

  • 2026-10-03T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Colmar · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs St Maur Lusitanos · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Bastia-Borgo · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Haguenau · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Chambly Thelle FC · 1-2 (L)

Brétigny Foot

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    National 3 - Group D table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Racing Colombes 922616823356
    2Aubervilliers261295945
    3Bastia II2612771443
    4Linas-Montlhery261187941
    5C' Chartres261088738
    6Versailles II2611510438
    7Oissel2610610-936
    8Sainte Geneviève2610214-532
    9Caen II269512-532
    10Havre Caucriauville267910030
    11Trouville Deauville267811-1029
    12St Ouen l'Aumône267712-2328
    13Dives-Cabourg266812-926
    14Brétigny Foot265813-1523

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Racing Colombes 92 win, at 78.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

    It puts both teams scoring at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

    A 78% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.