Complexo Municipal de Atletismo · Analysis updated 04:57 UTC
Racing Power W vs Sporting Braga W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.70 expected goals for Racing Power W and 1.18 for Sporting Braga W, a combined total of 1.88. That distribution gives Sporting Braga W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 29% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sporting Braga W win
47.5% probability
Expected goals
0.70 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Racing Power W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sporting Braga W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sporting Braga W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 22% / 31% / 48% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.70 goals for Racing Power W and 1.18 for Sporting Braga W, a combined 1.88 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–118.0%
- 0–015.3%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–010.7%
Recent form
Racing Power W
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Braga W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Porto W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Valadares Gaia W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T19:30:00.000Z · A vs SL Benfica W · 0-3 (L)
Sporting Braga W
- 2026-05-10T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Vitoria Guimaraes W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Power W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SL Benfica W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave W · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1a Divisão - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torreense W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 |
| 2 | SL Benfica W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | Sporting CP W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Valadares Gaia W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Sporting Braga W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Porto W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Racing Power W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Rio Ave W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Marítimo W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -24 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sporting Braga W win, at 47.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 29%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.