· Analysis updated 04:57 UTC
Racing Power W vs Sporting Braga W Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.50 expected goals for Racing Power W and 2.25 for Sporting Braga W, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Sporting Braga W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 77%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 77% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Sporting Braga W win
77.4% probability
Expected goals
0.50 – 2.25
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Racing Power W home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Sporting Braga W away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sporting Braga W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 77%, against 7% / 16% / 77% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.50 goals for Racing Power W and 2.25 for Sporting Braga W, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
23%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
93%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–216.2%
- 0–114.4%
- 0–312.1%
- 1–28.1%
- 1–17.2%
Recent form
Racing Power W
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-10-17T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Sporting Braga W · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Porto W · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Valadares Gaia W · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T19:30:00.000Z · A vs SL Benfica W · 0-3 (L)
Sporting Braga W
- 2026-05-10T13:45:00.000Z · H vs Vitoria Guimaraes W · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-03T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing Power W · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-04-25T17:30:00.000Z · H vs SL Benfica W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-04-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting CP W · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-03-22T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Rio Ave W · 0-0 (D)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1a Divisão - Women table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torreense W | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 |
| 2 | SL Benfica W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 |
| 3 | Sporting CP W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Valadares Gaia W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Sporting Braga W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Porto W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Racing Power W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Rio Ave W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes W | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 10 | Marítimo W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -24 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Sporting Braga W win, at 77.4%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 35% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 77% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.