Stade Op der Kopp · Analysis updated 19:52 UTC
Racing Troisvierges vs Alisontia Steinsel Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Racing Troisvierges and 2.75 for Alisontia Steinsel, a combined total of 4.33. That distribution gives Alisontia Steinsel the largest share of the 1X2 market at 62%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 62% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Alisontia Steinsel win
62.3% probability
Expected goals
1.58 – 2.75
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Racing Troisvierges home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Alisontia Steinsel away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Alisontia Steinsel to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 62%, against 21% / 17% / 62% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.58 goals for Racing Troisvierges and 2.75 for Alisontia Steinsel, a combined 4.33 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
38%
Double chance 12
83%
Double chance X2
80%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.9%
- 1–37.2%
- 2–26.2%
- 1–15.7%
- 2–35.7%
Recent form
Racing Troisvierges
- 2024-09-07T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Lorentzweiler · 2-4 (L)
- 2023-10-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Alisontia Steinsel · 1-7 (L)
- 2023-09-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Syra Mensdorf · 2-1 (W)
- 2022-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Differdange 03 · 0-12 (L)
- 2022-09-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brouch · 3-1 (W)
Alisontia Steinsel
- 2026-03-04T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Feulen · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-11-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Yellow Boys Weiler · 2-1 (W)
- 2025-09-21T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sporting Mertzig · 3-2 (W)
- 2024-11-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Differdange 03 · 0-1 (L)
- 2024-10-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Alliance Aischdall · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Alisontia Steinsel win, at 62.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 74% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.
A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.