· Analysis updated 18:04 UTC
Racing vs Reyady Abaseya Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.85 expected goals for Racing and 2.20 for Reyady Abaseya, a combined total of 3.05. That distribution gives Reyady Abaseya the largest share of the 1X2 market at 68%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 59% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score, with 0–2 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 68% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Reyady Abaseya win
68.1% probability
Expected goals
0.85 – 2.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Racing home form
0 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Reyady Abaseya away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Reyady Abaseya to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 68%, against 13% / 19% / 68% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.85 goals for Racing and 2.20 for Reyady Abaseya, a combined 3.05 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
32%
Double chance 12
81%
Double chance X2
87%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–211.5%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.9%
- 0–38.4%
Recent form
Racing
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Reyady Abaseya · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tadamon Sour · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Reyady Abaseya · 0-4 (L)
- 2026-07-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tadamon Sour · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Reyady Abaseya · 0-2 (L)
Reyady Abaseya
- 2026-10-08T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Safa · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-29T13:40:00.000Z · H vs Tadamon Sour · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Racing · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Tadamon Sour · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-13T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Racing · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nejmeh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Al Ansar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Safa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Tadamon Sour | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Al Ahed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Tripoli SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Al Mabarrah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Jwaaya FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Al Hikma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Reyady Abaseya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Shabab Al Sahel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Reyady Abaseya win, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.