Lebanon · Premier League · Relegation Quarterfinals - 113:00

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Friday, 10 July 2026

Bourj Hammoud Stadium · Analysis updated 10:32 UTC

Racing vs Tadamon Sour Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Racing vs Tadamon Sour in the Premier League: no fixture-specific data has reached us for this match yet, so the figures below are a competition-average baseline with standard home advantage — not a rated model prediction on these two teams. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and will be replaced automatically once team and market data arrives.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

69.8% probability

Baseline estimate10/100

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

No fixture-specific data was available. These numbers are a competition-average prior with standard home advantage — not a model opinion on these two teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Racing home form

    0 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Racing to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Racing and 1.18 for Tadamon Sour, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Why this is a baseline estimate

    No fixture-specific data was available for Racing or Tadamon Sour yet, so these numbers are a Premier League scoring average with standard home advantage rather than a rated model pick. They are excluded from our featured picks, accumulators and value selections, and are replaced automatically as team data arrives.

Match result (1X2)

Racing win44%
Draw26%
Tadamon Sour win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Recent form

Racing

  • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Reyady Abaseya · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-21T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Tadamon Sour · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Reyady Abaseya · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-07-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Tadamon Sour · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-07-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Reyady Abaseya · 0-2 (L)

Tadamon Sour

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Premier League table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Jwaaya FC4400912
    2Tadamon Sour4310510
    3Safa330059
    4Al Ahed422028
    5Tripoli SC421147
    6Al Nejmeh211024
    7Al Ansar110013
    8Al Mabarrah4103-63
    9Al Hikma4013-51
    10Reyady Abaseya3003-30
    11Shabab Al Sahel3003-60
    12Al Akhaa Al Ahli4004-80

    Prediction conclusion

    The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 69.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

    A 70% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.