· Referee N. Minakovic · Analysis updated 10:31 UTC
Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Beograd Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Radnicki 1923 and 1.10 for IMT Novi Beograd, a combined total of 2.38. That distribution gives Radnicki 1923 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
68.1% probability
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.10
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Radnicki 1923 home form
9 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
IMT Novi Beograd away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
68%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–110.2%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–18.3%
Recent form
Radnicki 1923
- 2026-09-19T17:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Mladost Lucani · 5-0 (W)
- 2026-09-05T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Macva · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-08-29T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Radnicki NIS · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 2-1 (W)
IMT Novi Beograd
- 2026-10-18T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Novi Pazar · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Radnik Surdulica · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Vojvodina · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-07T18:00:00.000Z · A vs OFK Beograd · 1-1 (D)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-22T17:00:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 2-1 IMT Novi Beograd (Super Liga)
- 2026-07-11T08:00:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2026-05-10T16:30:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd (Super Liga)
- 2026-01-31T12:00:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 3-1 IMT Novi Beograd (Super Liga)
- 2025-08-24T17:15:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 0-2 IMT Novi Beograd (Super Liga)
- 2024-11-30T13:00:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 1-3 IMT Novi Beograd (Super Liga)
- 2024-09-18T16:00:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 4-0 IMT Novi Beograd (Super Liga)
- 2024-03-01T13:00:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd (Super Liga)
- 2024-01-18T12:00:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 1-2 IMT Novi Beograd (Friendlies Clubs)
- 2023-09-21T14:30:00.000Z · Radnicki 1923 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd (Super Liga)
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 34 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | IMT Novi Beograd | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Železničar Pančevo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Radnik Surdulica | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 17 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | FK Partizan | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | OFK Beograd | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Macva | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Zemun | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -19 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 42%.
A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.