Slovenia · 1. SNL · Matchweek 316:00
RadomljeDLLLD

1 – 2

Sunday, 2 August 2026

BravoLWWDW

· Referee A. Jeric · Analysis updated 14:41 UTC

Radomlje vs Bravo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for Radomlje and 1.50 for Bravo, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Bravo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Draw/Away

68.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Radomlje home form

    1 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Bravo away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Radomlje win32%
Draw25%
Bravo win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–112.0%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 2–17.5%

Recent form

Radomlje

  • 2026-09-20T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Brinje-Grosuplje · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Maribor · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-04T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Nafta · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Olimpija Ljubljana · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-16T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Aluminij · 1-3 (L)

Bravo

  • 2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs HNK Gorica · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Olimpija Ljubljana · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Celje · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Aluminij · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-08-29T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Mura · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-02T16:00:00.000Z · Radomlje 1-2 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2026-05-09T13:00:00.000Z · Radomlje 1-2 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2026-03-09T16:30:00.000Z · Radomlje 1-3 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2025-11-24T16:30:00.000Z · Radomlje 4-0 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2025-08-30T18:15:00.000Z · Radomlje 0-6 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2025-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · Radomlje 0-4 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2025-03-11T16:30:00.000Z · Radomlje 2-0 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2024-12-04T16:30:00.000Z · Radomlje 0-0 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2024-08-31T18:15:00.000Z · Radomlje 1-1 Bravo (1. SNL)
  • 2024-04-27T15:30:00.000Z · Radomlje 1-1 Bravo (1. SNL)
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maribor116501223
2Koper11542319
3Bravo11533118
4Nafta11515216
5Olimpija Ljubljana11434215
6Celje10433115
7Aluminij11344413
8Brinje-Grosuplje11326-511
9Mura11245-1110
10Radomlje10136-96

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.