· Analysis updated 02:59 UTC
Radomlje vs Olimpija Ljubljana Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.37 expected goals for Radomlje and 0.90 for Olimpija Ljubljana, a combined total of 2.27. That distribution gives Radomlje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.
Model pick
Radomlje to Win
47.9% probability
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
76%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.7%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–09.7%
- 0–19.3%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Radomlje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 28% / 25% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.37 goals for Radomlje and 0.90 for Olimpija Ljubljana, a combined 2.27 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 44%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Model confidence
Radomlje to Win is the headline pick at 48% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Radomlje
Olimpija Ljubljana
- 2026-08-15T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Maribor · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Celje · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-02T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Aluminij · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mura · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-18T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bravo · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Celje | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Nafta | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bravo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Koper | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Radomlje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Mura | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 10 | Aluminij | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.