Belgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF · ACFF - 3413:00

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Sunday, 26 April 2026

Flénu

Terrain de Raeren · Analysis updated 13:40 UTC

Raeren-Eynatten vs Flénu Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.58 expected goals for Raeren-Eynatten and 1.37 for Flénu, a combined total of 2.95. That distribution gives Raeren-Eynatten the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

66.7% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.37

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Raeren-Eynatten home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Raeren-Eynatten to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 24% / 33% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.58 goals for Raeren-Eynatten and 1.37 for Flénu, a combined 2.95 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Match result (1X2)

Raeren-Eynatten win42%
Draw24%
Flénu win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 1–27.8%
  • 0–17.2%

Recent form

Raeren-Eynatten

  • 2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Flénu · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs RUS Binche · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-03-28T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Braine · 0-0 (D)

Flénu

  • 2026-09-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Onhaye · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · A vs RWDM · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Seraing United · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-10T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Stade Verviers · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-05-03T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ganshoren · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second Amateur Division - ACFF table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Crossing Schaerbeek8521817
2SG-Tertre-Hautrage8512416
3Jette7430815
4Stade Mouscronnois8422514
5Braine8422414
6Ganshoren8413613
7AS Eupen II8332112
8RUS Binche8332-212
9Stade Verviers8323411
10Richelle United8323211
11Huy8323-311
12Acren-Lessines8314210
13La Calamine8314110
14Ostiches8242-110
15Stockay-Warfusée8233-39
16Entité Manageoise8125-85
17Union Namur7115-134
18Aywaille8017-151

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.

A 67% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.