Belgium · Second Amateur Division - ACFF · ACFF - 3213:00

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Sunday, 12 April 2026

OstichesDDLDD

Terrain de Raeren · Analysis updated 16:21 UTC

Raeren-Eynatten vs Ostiches Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.05 expected goals for Raeren-Eynatten and 0.95 for Ostiches, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives Raeren-Eynatten the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.05 – 0.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Raeren-Eynatten home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Ostiches away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Raeren-Eynatten to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 37% / 31% / 32% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.05 goals for Raeren-Eynatten and 0.95 for Ostiches, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Raeren-Eynatten win37%
Draw31%
Ostiches win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

63%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams to score40%

Correct score

  • 1–014.2%
  • 0–013.5%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–112.9%
  • 2–07.5%

Recent form

Raeren-Eynatten

  • 2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Flénu · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs RUS Binche · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-03-28T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Braine · 0-0 (D)

Ostiches

  • 2026-09-26T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Stade Verviers · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-19T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Huy · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Richelle United · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Ganshoren · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Entité Manageoise · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second Amateur Division - ACFF table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Jette9540919
2SG-Tertre-Hautrage9612719
3Stade Mouscronnois9522917
4Crossing Schaerbeek9522717
5Braine9522517
6AS Eupen II9432315
7Huy9423-214
8Ganshoren9414513
9La Calamine9414213
10RUS Binche9333-312
11Stade Verviers9324211
12Acren-Lessines9324211
13Ostiches9252-111
14Richelle United9324-211
15Stockay-Warfusée9234-69
16Entité Manageoise9225-68
17Union Namur9126-145
18Aywaille9018-171

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.