Terrain de Raeren · Analysis updated 10:51 UTC
Raeren-Eynatten vs Richelle United Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Raeren-Eynatten and 1.35 for Richelle United, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Raeren-Eynatten the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
65.8% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.35
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Raeren-Eynatten home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Richelle United away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 9 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–17.8%
Recent form
Raeren-Eynatten
- 2026-04-26T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Flénu · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-04-19T13:00:00.000Z · A vs RUS Binche · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-04-12T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-04-05T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-03-28T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Braine · 0-0 (D)
Richelle United
- 2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Crossing Schaerbeek · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ostiches · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Jette · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Union Namur · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-22T14:00:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 1-0 Richelle United (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2025-10-26T14:00:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 2-0 Richelle United (Second Amateur Division - ACFF)
- 2023-12-17T13:30:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 3-1 Richelle United (Third Amateur Division - ACFF B)
- 2023-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 3-2 Richelle United (Third Amateur Division - ACFF B)
- 2023-05-07T13:00:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 2-1 Richelle United (Third Amateur Division - Play-offs)
- 2023-01-28T19:00:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 2-0 Richelle United (Third Amateur Division - ACFF B)
- 2022-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 1-0 Richelle United (Third Amateur Division - ACFF B)
- 2022-03-06T14:00:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 2-4 Richelle United (Third Amateur Division - ACFF B)
- 2021-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · Raeren-Eynatten 1-2 Richelle United (Third Amateur Division - ACFF B)
Second Amateur Division - ACFF table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Crossing Schaerbeek | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Jette | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Huy | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Braine | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | Ganshoren | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | AS Eupen II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Acren-Lessines | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Ostiches | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Richelle United | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | La Calamine | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 |
| 13 | RUS Binche | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Stade Verviers | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 |
| 15 | Stockay-Warfusée | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Entité Manageoise | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Union Namur | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -21 | 4 |
| 18 | Aywaille | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 65.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.