· Analysis updated 03:42 UTC
Ráječko vs Kuřim Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Ráječko and 2.26 for Kuřim, a combined total of 4.14. That distribution gives Kuřim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 78% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Kuřim win
47.2% probability
Expected goals
1.88 – 2.26
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ráječko home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Kuřim away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kuřim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 33% / 20% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.88 goals for Ráječko and 2.26 for Kuřim, a combined 4.14 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
53%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
67%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–27.7%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–16.8%
- 2–16.4%
- 1–35.8%
Recent form
Ráječko
- 2026-08-12T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Zabreh · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Žďár nad Sázavou · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Kuřim · 3-3 (D)
- 2025-07-29T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Kuřim · 2-2 (D)
Kuřim
- 2026-10-24T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Bystrc Kníničky · 7-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Velká Bíteš · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-10T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Bedrichov · 13-0 (W)
- 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Velké Meziříčí · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Pelhřimov · 2-4 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Kuřim win, at 47.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 76% and over 2.5 goals at 78%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.