· Analysis updated 00:57 UTC
Raków Częstochowa U19 vs Górnik Zabrze U19 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Raków Częstochowa U19 and 0.75 for Górnik Zabrze U19, a combined total of 2.25. That distribution gives Raków Częstochowa U19 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 39% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.
Model pick
Raków Częstochowa U19 to Win
55.1% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
45%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–015.8%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–011.9%
- 0–010.5%
- 2–18.9%
Why the model likes this
Raków Częstochowa U19 home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Górnik Zabrze U19 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Raków Częstochowa U19 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 26% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Raków Częstochowa U19 and 0.75 for Górnik Zabrze U19, a combined 2.25 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
Raków Częstochowa U19
- 2026-08-15T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Arka Gdynia U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T12:45:00.000Z · H vs Escola Varsovia U19 · 4-1 (W)
- 2024-06-01T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznań U19 · 1-2 (L)
- 2024-05-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Odra Opole U19 · 0-1 (L)
- 2024-05-18T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Warta Poznań U19 · 0-1 (L)
Górnik Zabrze U19
- 2026-08-14T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Arkonia U19 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Rzeszów U19 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-31T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Lech Poznań U19 · 4-2 (W)
- 2026-05-24T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Jagiellonia U19 · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-05-16T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Odra Opole U19 · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2024-04-21T10:00:00.000Z · Raków Częstochowa U19 3-1 Górnik Zabrze U19 (Central Youth League)
- 2023-10-07T10:00:00.000Z · Raków Częstochowa U19 3-2 Górnik Zabrze U19 (Central Youth League)
- 2022-11-26T12:30:00.000Z · Raków Częstochowa U19 3-0 Górnik Zabrze U19 (Central Youth League)
Central Youth League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Raków Częstochowa U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Wisła Kraków U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Arkonia U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Stal Rzeszów U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin U19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Arka Gdynia U19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Górnik Zabrze U19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Śląsk Wrocław U19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Polonia Warszawa U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Talent Warszawa U19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Miedź Legnica U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Escola Varsovia U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.