Randers FC vs FC Copenhagen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Randers FC and 1.80 for FC Copenhagen, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives FC Copenhagen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

FC Copenhagen win

47.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.80

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Randers FC home form
3 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FC Copenhagen away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Randers FC win30%

Draw23%

FC Copenhagen win48%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

71%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–110.3%
1–29.3%
0–17.5%
2–17.1%
0–26.8%

Recent form

Randers FC

2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Brondby · 1-3 (L)
2026-10-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs AC Horsens · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-11T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Viborg · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Aalborg · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sonderjyske · 2-4 (L)

FC Copenhagen

2026-10-22T16:45:00.000Z · A vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-15T19:00:00.000Z · H vs SC Braga · 3-0 (W)
2026-10-11T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Midtjylland · 1-2 (L)
2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Hamburger SV · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-16T16:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 0-4 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2026-05-17T12:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 0-5 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2026-04-12T16:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-2 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2026-03-01T16:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 2-1 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2025-08-31T16:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-5 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2025-05-18T16:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 0-4 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2025-03-31T17:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 0-1 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2025-02-17T18:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-2 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2024-08-04T14:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-1 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)
2024-05-31T17:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-2 FC Copenhagen (Superliga)

Superliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Midtjylland	12	8	4	0	11	28
2	FC Copenhagen	11	8	1	2	14	25
3	Viborg	12	6	2	4	7	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	12	5	5	2	4	20
5	Brondby	12	6	1	5	1	19
6	AC Horsens	12	4	4	4	3	16
7	Odense	11	3	4	4	-5	13
8	Aarhus	12	2	6	4	-2	12
9	Silkeborg	12	2	6	4	-4	12
10	Randers FC	12	3	2	7	-7	11
11	Lyngby	12	1	5	6	-10	8
12	Sonderjyske	12	2	2	8	-12	8

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is FC Copenhagen win, at 47.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.