Denmark · Superliga · Matchweek 314:00
Randers FCLLLWW

2 – 0

Sunday, 9 August 2026

LyngbyLLDWD

Cepheus Park · Referee M. Krogh · Analysis updated 16:59 UTC

Randers FC vs Lyngby Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Randers FC and 1.50 for Lyngby, a combined total of 3.00. That distribution gives Randers FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

62.1% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.50

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Randers FC home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Lyngby away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Randers FC win38%
Draw24%
Lyngby win38%

Double chance 1X

62%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–07.5%

Recent form

Randers FC

  • 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sonderjyske · 2-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vendsyssel FF · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Odense · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Brondby · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 2-1 (W)

Lyngby

  • 2026-10-11T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Brondby · 2-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Hvidovre · 3-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-18T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Silkeborg · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Sonderjyske · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-09-09T15:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-09T14:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 2-0 Lyngby (Superliga)
  • 2025-02-21T18:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 0-0 Lyngby (Superliga)
  • 2024-10-06T12:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-1 Lyngby (Superliga)
  • 2024-05-05T12:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-2 Lyngby (Superliga)
  • 2024-03-31T12:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 6-2 Lyngby (Superliga)
  • 2024-02-23T18:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-0 Lyngby (Superliga)
  • 2023-08-20T14:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 0-1 Lyngby (Superliga)
  • 2023-07-08T11:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-0 Lyngby (Friendlies Clubs)
  • 2023-02-26T13:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 1-0 Lyngby (Superliga)
  • 2022-09-04T12:00:00.000Z · Randers FC 2-0 Lyngby (Superliga)

Superliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Copenhagen108021424
2FC Midtjylland10640922
3Viborg10622920
4FC Nordsjaelland10532418
5Brondby10514016
6AC Horsens10334-112
7Silkeborg10253011
8Randers FC10316-510
9Odense10244-610
10Aarhus10154-38
11Lyngby10145-97
12Sonderjyske10127-125

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 62.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

A 62% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.