Cepheus Park · Referee S. Funder · Analysis updated 14:48 UTC
Randers FC vs Odense Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Randers FC and 1.08 for Odense, a combined total of 2.63. That distribution gives Randers FC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Randers FC win
48.3% probability
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.08
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Randers FC home form
6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Odense away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Randers FC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 25% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.55 goals for Randers FC and 1.08 for Odense, a combined 2.63 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
75%
Double chance X2
52%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.1%
- 1–011.2%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.7%
- 0–17.8%
Recent form
Randers FC
- 2026-09-20T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sonderjyske · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-16T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Vendsyssel FF · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Odense · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Brondby · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-30T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Aarhus · 2-1 (W)
Odense
- 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 4-5 (L)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Midtjylland · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-13T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Randers FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kolding IF · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Copenhagen · 0-5 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Viborg | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Brondby | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Randers FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Odense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Aarhus | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Randers FC win, at 48.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.