Rangers vs FK Jablonec Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.44 expected goals for Rangers and 0.84 for FK Jablonec, a combined total of 2.28. That distribution gives Rangers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 51%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 51% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rangers win

51.2% probability

Low confidenceLow data38/100

Expected goals

1.44 – 0.84

Model version

poisson-v1

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rangers home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
FK Jablonec away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rangers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 51%, against 51% / 27% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.44 goals for Rangers and 0.84 for FK Jablonec, a combined 2.28 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Rangers win51%

Draw27%

FK Jablonec win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

49%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals40%

Over 3.5 goals20%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–014.8%
1–112.4%
2–010.6%
0–010.3%
2–18.9%

Recent form

Rangers

2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Kilmarnock · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Celtic · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-13T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Celtic · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-09T18:45:00.000Z · H vs ST Mirren · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Motherwell · 1-0 (W)

FK Jablonec

2026-10-10T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Zbrojovka Brno · 1-0 (W)
2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Dukla Praha · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlin · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sparta Praha · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

No previous meetings were found between these teams. The prediction is still calculated from current form, home and away performance, goals data, team strength and competition statistics.

UEFA Europa Conference League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rangers win, at 51.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

A 51% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.