Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · Matchweek 1918:00
Ranheim IILLWLL

1 – 4

Sunday, 13 September 2026

ByåsenDLWWW

· Analysis updated 13:02 UTC

Ranheim II vs Byåsen Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.47 expected goals for Ranheim II and 2.83 for Byåsen, a combined total of 5.30. That distribution gives Byåsen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 90% for over 2.5 goals and 86% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Byåsen win

47.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.47 – 2.83

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Ranheim II home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Byåsen away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Byåsen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 35% / 18% / 47% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.47 goals for Ranheim II and 2.83 for Byåsen, a combined 5.30 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Ranheim II win35%
Draw18%
Byåsen win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

65%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals97%
Over 2.5 goals90%
Over 3.5 goals77%
Both teams to score86%

Correct score

  • 2–26.1%
  • 2–35.7%
  • 3–25.0%
  • 1–24.9%
  • 3–34.7%

Recent form

Ranheim II

  • 2026-10-12T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Molde II · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Spjelkavik · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Volda · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nardo · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Byåsen · 1-4 (L)

Byåsen

  • 2026-10-03T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Trondheim · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Orkla · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Herd · 6-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim II · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-05T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Strindheim · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. Division - Girone 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Strindheim2517444355
2Volda2517444155
3Melhus2512672642
4Byåsen241158738
5Molde II241059-1135
6Rosenborg II2410410934
7Nardo25103121333
8Herd259511-1132
9Spjelkavik258512-1129
10NTNUI257810-1629
11Ranheim II247512-1726
12Kvik Trondheim247512-2126
13Aalesund II247413-2325
14Orkla256514-2923

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Byåsen win, at 47.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 86% and over 2.5 goals at 90%.

A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.