Norway · 3. Division - Girone 2 · Matchweek 2111:00
Ranheim IILLWLL

1 – 3

Saturday, 26 September 2026

VoldaWWLWW

· Analysis updated 11:33 UTC

Ranheim II vs Volda Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.78 expected goals for Ranheim II and 2.70 for Volda, a combined total of 4.48. That distribution gives Volda the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Volda win

57.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.78 – 2.70

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Ranheim II home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Volda away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Ranheim II win25%
Draw18%
Volda win58%

Double chance 1X

43%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score77%

Correct score

  • 1–27.4%
  • 1–36.6%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 2–35.9%
  • 1–15.5%

Recent form

Ranheim II

  • 2026-10-12T15:45:00.000Z · H vs Molde II · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Spjelkavik · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Volda · 1-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-21T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nardo · 1-4 (L)
  • 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Byåsen · 1-4 (L)

Volda

  • 2026-10-10T11:00:00.000Z · A vs NTNUI · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Orkla · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim II · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Strindheim · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-12T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Melhus · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-09-26T11:00:00.000Z · Ranheim II 1-3 Volda (3. Division - Girone 2)
  • 2026-07-27T16:00:00.000Z · Ranheim II 0-7 Volda (3. Division - Girone 2)
  • 2025-10-26T11:00:00.000Z · Ranheim II 1-5 Volda (3. Division - Girone 2)
  • 2025-03-29T12:00:00.000Z · Ranheim II 0-2 Volda (3. Division - Girone 2)
  • 2021-09-04T14:00:00.000Z · Ranheim II 1-10 Volda (3. Division - Girone 5)

3. Division - Girone 2 table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Strindheim2517444355
2Volda2517444155
3Melhus2512672642
4Byåsen2512581041
5Molde II2510510-1435
6Rosenborg II2410410934
7Nardo25103121333
8Herd259511-1132
9Spjelkavik258512-1129
10NTNUI257810-1629
11Ranheim II247512-1726
12Kvik Trondheim247512-2126
13Aalesund II247413-2325
14Orkla256514-2923

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Volda win, at 57.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 77% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 58% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.