Ranheim vs Egersund Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.35 expected goals for Ranheim and 1.95 for Egersund, a combined total of 4.30. That distribution gives Ranheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 80% for over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Ranheim win

47.6% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.35 – 1.95

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Ranheim home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Egersund away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ranheim to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 20% / 33% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.35 goals for Ranheim and 1.95 for Egersund, a combined 4.30 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Ranheim win48%

Draw20%

Egersund win33%

Double chance 1X

67%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals80%

Over 3.5 goals62%

Both teams to score78%

Correct score

2–17.3%
2–27.1%
1–16.2%
1–26.1%
3–15.7%

Recent form

Ranheim

2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lyn · 4-1 (W)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Levanger · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Asane · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandnes ULF · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ODD Ballklubb · 3-5 (L)

Egersund

2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · H vs hodd · 3-1 (W)
2026-10-02T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ranheim · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs ODD Ballklubb · 1-5 (L)
2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs jerv · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Kongsvinger · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

1. Division table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Stromsgodset	27	18	6	3	43	60
2	Kongsvinger	27	18	5	4	39	59
3	Haugesund	27	19	2	6	33	59
4	Stabaek	27	16	4	7	30	52
5	ODD Ballklubb	27	13	6	8	13	45
6	Bryne	27	12	3	12	-1	39
7	hodd	27	11	5	11	-6	38
8	Ranheim	27	10	5	12	1	35
9	Egersund	27	9	7	11	-11	34
10	Strommen	27	9	6	12	-11	33
11	Lyn	27	9	4	14	-16	31
12	Moss	27	8	5	14	-16	29
13	Sandnes ULF	27	7	5	15	-17	26
14	Sogndal	26	6	6	14	-17	24
15	Asane	27	6	5	16	-24	23
16	Raufoss	26	6	2	18	-40	20

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Ranheim win, at 47.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 78% and over 2.5 goals at 80%.

A 48% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.