Norway · 1. Division · Matchweek 2015:00
RanheimDLWWD

3 – 5

Sunday, 30 August 2026

EXTRA Arena · Referee M. Tennoy · Analysis updated 16:59 UTC

Ranheim vs ODD Ballklubb Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.33 expected goals for Ranheim and 2.10 for ODD Ballklubb, a combined total of 4.43. That distribution gives Ranheim the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

63.9% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.33 – 2.10

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Ranheim home form

    1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • ODD Ballklubb away threat

    Scored in 7 of their last 7 away fixtures.

  • Head-to-head goals

    Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Ranheim win44%
Draw20%
ODD Ballklubb win36%

Double chance 1X

64%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals64%
Both teams to score79%

Correct score

  • 2–27.1%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 1–26.1%
  • 1–15.8%
  • 3–25.5%

Recent form

Ranheim

  • 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lyn · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Levanger · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Asane · 2-2 (D)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandnes ULF · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · H vs ODD Ballklubb · 3-5 (L)

ODD Ballklubb

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs hodd · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Egersund · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-16T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Notodden · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Raufoss · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stromsgodset · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

  • 2026-08-30T15:00:00.000Z · Ranheim 3-5 ODD Ballklubb (1. Division)
  • 2026-05-25T15:00:00.000Z · Ranheim 1-3 ODD Ballklubb (1. Division)
  • 2025-10-18T14:00:00.000Z · Ranheim 1-1 ODD Ballklubb (1. Division)
  • 2025-07-26T12:00:00.000Z · Ranheim 3-1 ODD Ballklubb (1. Division)
  • 2019-10-20T16:00:00.000Z · Ranheim 4-1 ODD Ballklubb (Eliteserien)
  • 2019-05-16T16:00:00.000Z · Ranheim 0-1 ODD Ballklubb (Eliteserien)
  • 2018-10-07T16:00:00.000Z · Ranheim 0-2 ODD Ballklubb (Eliteserien)
  • 2018-05-13T16:00:00.000Z · Ranheim 3-1 ODD Ballklubb (Eliteserien)

1. Division table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Haugesund2619253859
2Stromsgodset2617633857
3Kongsvinger2617543556
4Stabaek2615472949
5ODD Ballklubb2613671445
6Bryne2612311139
7hodd2610511-1035
8Egersund269611-1133
9Ranheim269512-132
10Strommen268612-1230
11Moss268513-1529
12Lyn268414-1728
13Sandnes ULF267514-1326
14Sogndal256514-1723
15Asane266515-2323
16Raufoss256217-3620

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 63.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.

It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.