Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie B · Group B - 1014:00
Rapid PsáryWDWDW

5 – 1

Saturday, 10 October 2026

· Analysis updated 06:23 UTC

Rapid Psáry vs Brandýs nad Labem Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.92 expected goals for Rapid Psáry and 1.57 for Brandýs nad Labem, a combined total of 4.49. That distribution gives Rapid Psáry the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 82% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rapid Psáry win

65.2% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

2.92 – 1.57

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rapid Psáry home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Brandýs nad Labem away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rapid Psáry to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 16% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.92 goals for Rapid Psáry and 1.57 for Brandýs nad Labem, a combined 4.49 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rapid Psáry win65%
Draw16%
Brandýs nad Labem win19%

Double chance 1X

82%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams to score75%

Correct score

  • 2–17.5%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 4–15.3%

Recent form

Rapid Psáry

  • 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Karlovy Vary · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hvězda Cheb · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slaný · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Štětí · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Meteor Praha · 3-0 (W)

Brandýs nad Labem

  • 2026-10-10T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Psáry · 1-5 (L)
  • 2026-10-03T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Vyšehrad · 5-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Velvary · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-23T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Ostrov · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Újezd Praha 4 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chomutov129121528
2Sokol Hostouň128131825
3Újezd Praha 412732624
4Rapid Psáry127231423
5Slaný125341218
6Baník Sokolov12606518
7Brandýs nad Labem12606118
8Štětí12534118
9Karlovy Vary12525317
10Tempo Praha12525317
11Meteor Praha12516-216
12Slovan Velvary12426-1014
13Hvězda Cheb12318-1410
14Slavoj Vyšehrad12318-1410
15Ostrov12318-1710
16Ústí nad Labem II12237-219

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rapid Psáry win, at 65.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 75% and over 2.5 goals at 82%.

A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.