Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie B · Group B - 808:15
Rapid PsáryWDWWL

3 – 2

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Tempo PrahaDWLWL

· Analysis updated 16:11 UTC

Rapid Psáry vs Tempo Praha Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.83 expected goals for Rapid Psáry and 1.35 for Tempo Praha, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Rapid Psáry the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rapid Psáry win

48.7% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.35

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rapid Psáry home form

    9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Tempo Praha away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rapid Psáry to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 49%, against 49% / 23% / 29% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.83 goals for Rapid Psáry and 1.35 for Tempo Praha, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rapid Psáry win49%
Draw23%
Tempo Praha win29%

Double chance 1X

72%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

51%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 1–27.0%

Recent form

Rapid Psáry

  • 2026-09-12T08:15:00.000Z · H vs Karlovy Vary · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Hvězda Cheb · 5-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-29T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slaný · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-22T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Štětí · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Meteor Praha · 3-0 (W)

Tempo Praha

  • 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Sokolov · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Psáry · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Slavoj Vyšehrad · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Velvary · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Újezd Praha 4 · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

4. liga - Divizie B table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sokol Hostouň107121822
2Chomutov107121222
3Újezd Praha 410622520
4Rapid Psáry106131219
5Baník Sokolov10604818
6Meteor Praha10514216
7Brandýs nad Labem10505015
8Slaný10424814
9Tempo Praha10424214
10Slovan Velvary10424-514
11Karlovy Vary10415213
12Štětí10334-312
13Ostrov10316-1010
14Slavoj Vyšehrad10217-147
15Hvězda Cheb10217-197
16Ústí nad Labem II10136-186

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rapid Psáry win, at 48.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.

A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.