World · UEFA Europa Conference League · Qualifying18:30

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Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Allianz Stadion · Referee V. Kastrati · Analysis updated 10:11 UTC

Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.18 for FC Santa Coloma, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Rapid Vienna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Rapid Vienna win

56.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rapid Vienna win57%
Draw22%
FC Santa Coloma win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score60%

Correct score

  • 1–19.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.4%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 3–16.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Rapid Vienna home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rapid Vienna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.18 for FC Santa Coloma, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Rapid Vienna

  • 2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Paide · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Paide · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SCR Altach · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-29T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Santa Coloma · 6-2 (W)

FC Santa Coloma

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.