Allianz Stadion · Referee A. Talic · Analysis updated 23:50 UTC
Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.73 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.89 for Grazer AK, a combined total of 2.62. That distribution gives Rapid Vienna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 49% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.
Model pick
Rapid Vienna to Win
57.1% probability
Expected goals
1.73 – 0.89
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
81%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.6%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–010.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–07.3%
Why the model likes this
Rapid Vienna home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rapid Vienna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 24% / 19% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.73 goals for Rapid Vienna and 0.89 for Grazer AK, a combined 2.62 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 49% and both teams to score at 49%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Rapid Vienna
- 2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Paide · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Paide · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SCR Altach · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-29T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Santa Coloma · 6-2 (W)
Grazer AK
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Rapid Vienna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | SCR Altach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | WSG Wattens | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | TSV Hartberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Austria Vienna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.