Allianz Stadion · Referee D. Shurman · Analysis updated 05:15 UTC
Rapid Vienna vs Paide Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.13 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.42 for Paide, a combined total of 4.55. That distribution gives Rapid Vienna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 15%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 83% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws roughly 29% of the time.
Model pick
Rapid Vienna to Win
71.1% probability
Expected goals
3.13 – 1.42
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
86%
Double chance 12
86%
Double chance X2
29%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.7%
- 2–17.4%
- 4–16.0%
- 3–25.5%
- 3–05.4%
Why the model likes this
Rapid Vienna home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rapid Vienna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 15% / 14% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.13 goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.42 for Paide, a combined 4.55 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 83% and both teams to score at 72%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.
Recent form
Rapid Vienna
- 2026-08-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Paide · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Ried · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Paide · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-08-02T17:00:00.000Z · H vs SCR Altach · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-29T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Santa Coloma · 6-2 (W)
Paide
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.