Rapid Vienna vs WSG Wattens Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.50 expected goals for Rapid Vienna and 1.33 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 3.83. That distribution gives Rapid Vienna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rapid Vienna win

63.0% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.50 – 1.33

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rapid Vienna home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
WSG Wattens away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Rapid Vienna win63%

Draw18%

WSG Wattens win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

37%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score67%

Correct score

2–19.0%
3–17.5%
1–17.2%
2–06.8%
2–26.0%

Recent form

Rapid Vienna

2026-10-11T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Lask Linz · 2-0 (W)
2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · H vs WSG Wattens · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Wolfsberger AC · 3-0 (W)
2026-09-05T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Austria Klagenfurt · 5-2 (W)
2026-09-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Red Bull Salzburg · 1-5 (L)

WSG Wattens

2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs SSV Jahn Regensburg · 6-0 (W)
2026-09-24T12:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Liefering · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid Vienna · 0-3 (L)
2026-09-13T12:30:00.000Z · H vs TSV Hartberg · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-05T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Leithaprodersdorf · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-09-18T17:30:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 3-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
2025-11-09T13:30:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 1-1 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
2025-09-14T12:30:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 4-1 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
2024-11-23T16:00:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 0-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
2024-08-18T15:00:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 2-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
2023-12-05T18:00:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 2-1 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
2023-08-27T15:00:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 1-1 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
2023-03-12T16:00:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 2-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)
2022-10-18T16:00:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 4-1 WSG Wattens (Cup)
2022-10-01T15:00:00.000Z · Rapid Vienna 5-0 WSG Wattens (Bundesliga)

Bundesliga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	8	7	0	1	16	21
2	Red Bull Salzburg	8	5	3	0	14	18
3	Lask Linz	8	5	1	2	10	16
4	Sturm Graz	8	4	2	2	1	14
5	Ried	8	3	2	3	0	11
6	TSV Hartberg	8	3	2	3	-2	11
7	Grazer AK	8	2	3	3	-10	9
8	Austria Lustenau	8	2	2	4	-4	8
9	WSG Wattens	8	2	2	4	-4	8
10	Austria Vienna	8	2	1	5	-8	7
11	SCR Altach	8	2	0	6	-4	6
12	Wolfsberger AC	8	1	2	5	-9	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rapid Vienna win, at 63.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

A 63% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.