Stadionul Rapid-Giulesti · Referee Rares George Vidican, Romania · Analysis updated 14:29 UTC
Rapid vs CFR 1907 Cluj Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.00 expected goals for Rapid and 1.75 for CFR 1907 Cluj, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives CFR 1907 Cluj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
CFR 1907 Cluj win
55.0% probability
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Rapid home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
CFR 1907 Cluj away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 10 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
45%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–111.2%
- 1–111.2%
- 0–29.8%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–06.4%
Recent form
Rapid
- 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Genoa · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Voluntari · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oţelul · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 2-0 (W)
CFR 1907 Cluj
- 2026-09-19T14:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Botosani · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-12T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-09-04T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Farul Constanta · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-01T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-08-29T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Csikszereda · 3-2 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-02T18:30:00.000Z · Rapid 3-1 CFR 1907 Cluj (Liga I)
- 2026-05-04T17:30:00.000Z · Rapid 1-2 CFR 1907 Cluj (Liga I)
- 2026-03-20T19:45:00.000Z · Rapid 0-1 CFR 1907 Cluj (Liga I)
- 2026-02-10T18:00:00.000Z · Rapid 1-1 CFR 1907 Cluj (Cupa României)
- 2025-11-23T18:30:00.000Z · Rapid 0-3 CFR 1907 Cluj (Liga I)
- 2025-07-20T18:30:00.000Z · Rapid 1-1 CFR 1907 Cluj (Liga I)
- 2025-05-19T17:30:00.000Z · Rapid 1-4 CFR 1907 Cluj (Liga I)
- 2025-04-14T17:30:00.000Z · Rapid 1-1 CFR 1907 Cluj (Liga I)
- 2024-12-19T18:00:00.000Z · Rapid 0-2 CFR 1907 Cluj (Cupa României)
- 2024-11-23T19:30:00.000Z · Rapid 1-1 CFR 1907 Cluj (Liga I)
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 26 |
| 2 | Rapid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 23 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | FCSB | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Botosani | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 12 | Uta Arad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -18 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is CFR 1907 Cluj win, at 55.0%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
A 55% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.