Romania · Liga I · Matchweek 1218:30
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18:30 UTC

Saturday, 17 October 2026

Superbet Arena - Giulesti · Analysis updated 13:36 UTC

Rapid vs Corvinul Hunedoara Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.43 expected goals for Rapid and 0.87 for Corvinul Hunedoara, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Rapid the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Rapid win

50.1% probability

Low confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.43 – 0.87

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rapid home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Corvinul Hunedoara away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rapid to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 27% / 23% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.43 goals for Rapid and 0.87 for Corvinul Hunedoara, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Rapid win50%
Draw27%
Corvinul Hunedoara win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%
Over 2.5 goals40%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams to score44%

Correct score

  • 1–014.3%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 0–010.0%
  • 2–18.9%

Recent form

Rapid

  • 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Genoa · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Voluntari · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oţelul · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 2-0 (W)

Corvinul Hunedoara

  • 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Voluntari · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-10-02T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Viitorul Şelimbăr · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-21T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Oţelul · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-13T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Craiova · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-09-06T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Petrolul Ploiesti · 0-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti118211826
2Rapid11731924
3Universitatea Craiova117221623
4Petrolul Ploiesti11614-119
5Universitatea Cluj11605218
6Farul Constanta11452217
7Corvinul Hunedoara11443316
8CFR 1907 Cluj11515016
9FCSB11434-315
10FC Botosani11353414
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe11344-513
12Uta Arad11335-312
13Arges Pitesti11326-511
14Oţelul11245-510
15FC Voluntari11227-148
16Csikszereda110110-181

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rapid win, at 50.1%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.