Romania · Liga I · Matchweek 918:30
RapidWWWWD

2 – 1

Saturday, 12 September 2026

FC VoluntariLLLWD

Stadionul Rapid-Giulesti · Referee Andrei Moroita, Romania · Analysis updated 21:33 UTC

Rapid vs FC Voluntari Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.08 expected goals for Rapid and 0.63 for FC Voluntari, a combined total of 2.70. That distribution gives Rapid the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Rapid win

71.3% probability

High confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.08 – 0.63

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Rapid home form

    10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • FC Voluntari away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rapid to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 19% / 10% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.08 goals for Rapid and 0.63 for FC Voluntari, a combined 2.70 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Rapid win71%
Draw19%
FC Voluntari win10%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score41%

Correct score

  • 2–014.5%
  • 1–013.9%
  • 3–010.0%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–18.7%

Recent form

Rapid

  • 2026-10-02T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Genoa · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · H vs FC Voluntari · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-06T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Oţelul · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-03T17:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Politehnica Timisoara · 2-0 (W)

FC Voluntari

  • 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Universitatea Cluj · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-12T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Rapid · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Arges Pitesti · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-09-01T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Chindia Targoviste · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-28T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Oţelul · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Dinamo Bucuresti118211826
2Rapid11731924
3Universitatea Craiova117221623
4Petrolul Ploiesti11614-119
5Universitatea Cluj11605218
6Farul Constanta11452217
7Corvinul Hunedoara11443316
8CFR 1907 Cluj11515016
9FCSB11434-315
10FC Botosani11353414
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe11344-513
12Uta Arad11335-312
13Arges Pitesti11326-511
14Oţelul11245-510
15FC Voluntari11227-148
16Csikszereda110110-181

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Rapid win, at 71.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 41% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.