Slovakia · 3. liga - East · East - 708:00
RaslaviceLWLWD

2 – 1

Saturday, 19 September 2026

· Analysis updated 13:03 UTC

Raslavice vs Slávia TU Košice Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.88 expected goals for Raslavice and 0.98 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined total of 2.85. That distribution gives Raslavice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 54% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Raslavice win

58.5% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

1.88 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

  • Raslavice home form

    12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Slávia TU Košice away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Raslavice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 22% / 19% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.88 goals for Raslavice and 0.98 for Slávia TU Košice, a combined 2.85 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Raslavice win59%
Draw22%
Slávia TU Košice win19%

Double chance 1X

81%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

42%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score53%

Correct score

  • 1–010.8%
  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.4%

Recent form

Raslavice

  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spišská Nová Ves · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-26T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Stará Ľubovňa · 0-5 (L)
  • 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · H vs Slávia TU Košice · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Slovan Sabinov · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-09-07T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Vranov nad Topľou · 3-0 (W)

Slávia TU Košice

  • 2026-10-17T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Lokomotíva Košice · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-10-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs Kežmarok · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Snina · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-09-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Spartak Medzev · 6-2 (W)
  • 2026-09-19T08:00:00.000Z · A vs Raslavice · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

3. liga - East table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotíva Košice117311424
2Spartak Medzev12723823
3Raslavice12723423
4Stará Ľubovňa116321121
5Partizán Bardejov12624220
6Spišská Nová Ves12615319
7Lipany12534818
8Poprad12525317
9MSK Tesla Stropkov11425214
10Snina11353-214
11Slávia TU Košice11416013
12Vranov nad Topľou11416-1313
13Slovan Sabinov12147-147
14Kežmarok120111-261

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Raslavice win, at 58.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

A 59% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.