Stadio Comunale Bruno Benelli · Referee A. Silvestri · Analysis updated 06:33 UTC
Ravenna vs Campobasso FC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.40 expected goals for Ravenna and 0.78 for Campobasso FC, a combined total of 3.18. That distribution gives Ravenna the largest share of the 1X2 market at 73%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 61% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 73% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Ravenna win
73.2% probability
Expected goals
2.40 – 0.78
Model version
poisson-v2
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Ravenna home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Campobasso FC away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Ravenna to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 73%, against 73% / 17% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.40 goals for Ravenna and 0.78 for Campobasso FC, a combined 3.18 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
90%
Double chance 12
84%
Double chance X2
27%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–012.0%
- 1–010.0%
- 3–09.6%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–17.8%
Recent form
Ravenna
- 2026-10-24T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Vis Pesaro · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-10-18T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Spezia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-10-11T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Campobasso FC · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Pianese · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-27T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Gubbio · 2-0 (W)
Campobasso FC
- 2026-10-04T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Torres · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-26T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Sambenedettese · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-20T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Pineto · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-16T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Grosseto · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-09-12T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vado · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Serie C - Girone B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Pescara | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | Torres | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Reggiana | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Livorno | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Perugia | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Vado | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Campobasso FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Latina | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | Pineto | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | Forli | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Atalanta II | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 | Ostia Mare | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Pianese | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 7 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -14 | 4 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Ravenna win, at 73.2%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
A 73% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.