Rayon Sports vs Musanze Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for Rayon Sports and 0.75 for Musanze, a combined total of 1.50. That distribution gives Rayon Sports the largest share of the 1X2 market at 32%, with the draw at 37%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 19% for over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score, with 0–0 the single most likely scoreline at 22%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 32% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

68.3% probability

Moderate confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

0.75 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Rayon Sports home form
5 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Musanze away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

Rayon Sports win32%

Draw37%

Musanze win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

63%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals44%

Over 2.5 goals19%

Over 3.5 goals7%

Both teams to score28%

Correct score

0–022.3%
0–116.7%
1–016.7%
1–112.6%
0–26.3%

Recent form

Rayon Sports

2026-10-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Black Bulls Maputo · 2-2 (D)
2026-10-17T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Black Bulls Maputo · 0-2 (L)
2026-10-09T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gorilla · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-17T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Sunrise · 1-1 (D)
2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Panthère · 0-0 (D)

Musanze

2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Gasogi United · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Etincelles · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Kiyovu Sports · 1-0 (W)
2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs AS Kigali · 1-2 (L)
2026-05-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Marines · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

2026-02-28T13:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 1-1 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2025-12-05T16:30:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 2-0 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2025-02-09T13:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 2-2 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2024-11-06T13:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 1-0 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2024-02-23T16:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 0-1 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2023-10-15T13:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 0-1 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2023-01-24T13:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 4-1 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2022-11-27T13:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 0-2 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2022-05-15T13:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 1-1 Musanze (National Soccer League)
2022-01-15T13:00:00.000Z · Rayon Sports 0-0 Musanze (National Soccer League)

National Soccer League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gorilla	6	3	2	1	2	11
2	Gicumbi	4	3	0	1	2	9
3	Marines	4	2	1	1	4	7
4	Amagaju	6	2	1	3	3	7
5	Mukura	4	2	1	1	2	7
6	Etincelles	5	2	1	2	-4	7
7	Bugesera	3	2	0	1	3	6
8	Sunrise	5	1	3	1	-3	6
9	Gasogi United	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Police	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Kiyovu Sports	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	AS Kigali	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	APR	1	1	0	0	2	3
14	Al Hilal Omdurman	1	1	0	0	2	3
15	Musanze	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Etoile de l'Est	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Al Merreikh	1	0	1	0	0	1
18	Rayon Sports	2	0	1	1	-1	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 68.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–0.

It puts both teams scoring at 28% and over 2.5 goals at 19%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.