· Analysis updated 03:55 UTC
RB Bragantino U20 vs Capivariano U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for RB Bragantino U20 and 0.60 for Capivariano U20, a combined total of 2.00. That distribution gives RB Bragantino U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 32% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
RB Bragantino U20 win
56.5% probability
Expected goals
1.40 – 0.60
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RB Bragantino U20 home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Capivariano U20 away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RB Bragantino U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 57% / 28% / 16% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for RB Bragantino U20 and 0.60 for Capivariano U20, a combined 2.00 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
84%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
43%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–018.9%
- 0–013.5%
- 2–013.3%
- 1–111.4%
- 0–18.1%
Recent form
RB Bragantino U20
- 2026-10-24T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Capivariano U20 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-10-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flamengo SP U20 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo SP U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Bandeirante U20 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bandeirante U20 · 6-0 (W)
Capivariano U20
- 2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo SP U20 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Guarani U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Água Santa U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-06T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Gremio Prudente U20 · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Porto Football U20 · 4-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paulista - U20 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is RB Bragantino U20 win, at 56.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
A 57% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.