· Analysis updated 02:18 UTC
RB Bragantino U20 vs Guarani U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.60 expected goals for RB Bragantino U20 and 1.28 for Guarani U20, a combined total of 4.88. That distribution gives RB Bragantino U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 80%, with the draw at 11%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 80% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
RB Bragantino U20 win
79.6% probability
Expected goals
3.60 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RB Bragantino U20 home form
15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Guarani U20 away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RB Bragantino U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 80%, against 80% / 11% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.60 goals for RB Bragantino U20 and 1.28 for Guarani U20, a combined 4.88 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
91%
Double chance 12
89%
Double chance X2
20%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.6%
- 4–16.8%
- 2–16.3%
- 3–05.9%
- 4–05.3%
Recent form
RB Bragantino U20
- 2026-10-16T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Flamengo SP U20 · 9-0 (W)
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo SP U20 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Bandeirante U20 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Bandeirante U20 · 6-0 (W)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Água Santa U20 · 8-0 (W)
Guarani U20
- 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Sfera U20 · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z · H vs União Suzano U20 · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs União Suzano U20 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Gremio Prudente U20 · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · H vs XV de Jaú U20 · 3-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paulista - U20 table
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is RB Bragantino U20 win, at 79.6%. Its single most likely scoreline is 3–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals at 85%.
A 80% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.