· Analysis updated 16:36 UTC
RC Catarroja vs Buñol Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.34 expected goals for RC Catarroja and 1.22 for Buñol, a combined total of 2.56. That distribution gives RC Catarroja the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
66.3% probability
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.22
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RC Catarroja home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Buñol away threat
Scored in 1 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates RC Catarroja to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 27% / 34% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.34 goals for RC Catarroja and 1.22 for Buñol, a combined 2.56 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
66%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
60%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–07.7%
Recent form
RC Catarroja
- 2026-05-09T16:30:00.000Z · A vs La Nucía · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Crevillente · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Soneja · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Buñol · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Utiel · 2-2 (D)
Buñol
- 2026-09-27T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Ontinyent 1931 · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Eldense B · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-12T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Levante II · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-05T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Atzeneta · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-05-09T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Alzira · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Levante II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Vall de Uxó | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Hércules II | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Torrent | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Eldense B | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Roda | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Crevillente | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Acero | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Saguntino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | SC Torrevieja | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Ontinyent 1931 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Jove Español | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Atzeneta | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Buñol | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Torrellano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Soneja | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Utiel | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 66.3%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
A 66% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.