· Analysis updated 13:36 UTC
RC Catarroja vs Jove Español Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 0.75 expected goals for RC Catarroja and 1.28 for Jove Español, a combined total of 2.03. That distribution gives Jove Español the largest share of the 1X2 market at 49%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 33% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 49% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Jove Español win
48.9% probability
Expected goals
0.75 – 1.28
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
RC Catarroja home form
1 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Jove Español away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
51%
Double chance 12
71%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 0–116.8%
- 0–013.2%
- 1–112.6%
- 0–210.7%
- 1–09.9%
Recent form
RC Catarroja
- 2026-05-09T16:30:00.000Z · A vs La Nucía · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-05-02T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Crevillente · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-04-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Soneja · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-04-19T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Buñol · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-04-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Utiel · 2-2 (D)
Jove Español
- 2026-10-24T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Levante II · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Roda · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Soneja · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Acero · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Vall de Uxó · 1-2 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-03-22T15:00:00.000Z · RC Catarroja 1-2 Jove Español (Tercera División RFEF - Group 6)
- 2025-11-08T16:00:00.000Z · RC Catarroja 2-1 Jove Español (Tercera División RFEF - Group 6)
- 2022-04-24T16:00:00.000Z · RC Catarroja 2-0 Jove Español (Tercera División RFEF - Group 6)
- 2021-12-18T16:15:00.000Z · RC Catarroja 1-1 Jove Español (Tercera División RFEF - Group 6)
- 2021-05-02T09:30:00.000Z · RC Catarroja 2-0 Jove Español (Tercera División RFEF - Group 6)
- 2021-04-10T14:00:00.000Z · RC Catarroja 1-1 Jove Español (Tercera División RFEF - Group 6)
- 2020-02-22T16:00:00.000Z · RC Catarroja 1-1 Jove Español (Tercera División RFEF - Group 6)
- 2019-10-06T09:30:00.000Z · RC Catarroja 1-0 Jove Español (Tercera División RFEF - Group 6)
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal III | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Levante II | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Vall de Uxó | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Hércules II | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Acero | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Torrent | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Eldense B | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Crevillente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Roda | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atzeneta | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Saguntino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Buñol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC Torrevieja | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 14 | Ontinyent 1931 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Torrellano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Soneja | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Jove Español | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Utiel | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 3 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Jove Español win, at 48.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 0–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 33%.
A 49% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.