Real Oruro vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.20 expected goals for Real Oruro and 1.68 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, a combined total of 3.88. That distribution gives Real Oruro the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 74% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Real Oruro win

49.9% probability

Low confidencePartial model70/100

Expected goals

2.20 – 1.68

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Real Oruro home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
San Antonio Bulo Bulo away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Real Oruro to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 20% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.20 goals for Real Oruro and 1.68 for San Antonio Bulo Bulo, a combined 3.88 — an open game on paper.

Match result (1X2)

Real Oruro win50%

Draw20%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals90%

Over 2.5 goals74%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score72%

Correct score

2–18.4%
1–17.6%
2–27.0%
1–26.4%
3–16.2%

Recent form

Real Oruro

2026-10-03T21:15:00.000Z · A vs Nacional Potosí · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-30T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Always Ready · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-27T23:30:00.000Z · A vs Real Tomayapo · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-20T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-15T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 0-2 (L)

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

2026-10-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Tomayapo · 0-0 (D)
2026-10-06T22:00:00.000Z · A vs Real Potosí · 2-4 (L)
2026-10-02T19:00:00.000Z · H vs ABB · 0-2 (L)
2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Aurora · 2-2 (D)
2026-09-25T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Real Potosí · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Primera División table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Always Ready	21	14	6	1	36	48
2	Bolívar	21	15	3	3	33	48
3	The Strongest	21	12	6	3	16	42
4	Real Potosí	21	9	8	4	14	35
5	Oriente Petrolero	21	10	3	8	10	33
6	Aurora	21	7	10	4	4	31
7	Guabirá	21	8	5	8	-10	29
8	Nacional Potosí	21	8	4	9	2	28
9	Blooming	21	6	9	6	7	27
10	Independiente Petrolero	21	7	4	10	-10	25
11	Real Oruro	21	7	3	11	-16	24
12	San Antonio Bulo Bulo	21	6	3	12	-19	21
13	ABB	21	6	2	13	-15	20
14	Universitario de Vinto	21	5	3	13	-15	18
15	Gualberto Villarroel SJ	21	3	8	10	-13	17
16	Real Tomayapo	21	4	5	12	-24	17

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Real Oruro win, at 49.9%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 72% and over 2.5 goals at 74%.

A 50% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.