Recreativo do Libolo vs Kabuscorp Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.12 expected goals for Recreativo do Libolo and 1.00 for Kabuscorp, a combined total of 2.12. That distribution gives Recreativo do Libolo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 38%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 36% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 38% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.

Model pick

Home/Draw

67.8% probability

Moderate confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.12 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

Recreativo do Libolo home form
7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Kabuscorp away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Recreativo do Libolo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 38%, against 38% / 30% / 32% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.12 goals for Recreativo do Libolo and 1.00 for Kabuscorp, a combined 2.12 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Match result (1X2)

Recreativo do Libolo win38%

Draw30%

Kabuscorp win32%

Double chance 1X

68%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

62%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals63%

Over 2.5 goals36%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

1–113.4%
1–013.4%
0–112.0%
0–012.0%
2–17.5%

Recent form

Recreativo do Libolo

2026-10-11T14:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Luanda · 2-1 (W)
2026-09-20T16:15:00.000Z · A vs Wiliete · 0-5 (L)
2026-09-12T14:00:00.000Z · H vs 1º de Maio · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Bravos do Maquis FC · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-26T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Petro de Luanda · 0-3 (L)

Kabuscorp

2026-10-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiliete · 1-1 (D)
2026-10-07T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Sagrada Esperança · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Interclube · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Bravos do Maquis FC · 0-1 (L)
2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · H vs UNAM · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Girabola table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wiliete	6	5	1	0	11	16
2	Petro de Luanda	6	4	2	0	7	14
3	1º de Agosto	6	4	2	0	4	14
4	Bravos do Maquis FC	6	4	1	1	5	13
5	Interclube	6	3	1	2	2	10
6	Desportivo Huíla	6	3	1	2	1	10
7	Recreativo do Libolo	6	3	0	3	-4	9
8	1º de Maio	6	2	2	2	1	8
9	Sagrada Esperança	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	CD Lunda-Sul	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Kabuscorp	7	1	3	3	-2	6
12	Recreativo da Caála	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	São Salvador	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	FC Luanda	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Sporting de Cabinda	6	0	3	3	-5	3
16	Académica do Lobito	6	0	1	5	-9	1

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 67.8%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 36%.

A 68% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.