· Analysis updated 14:15 UTC
Recreativo Huelva vs Real Betis Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.72 expected goals for Recreativo Huelva and 1.56 for Real Betis, a combined total of 3.28. That distribution gives Recreativo Huelva the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 64% for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Home/Draw
64.7% probability
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.56
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Recreativo Huelva home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Real Betis away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Recreativo Huelva to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 23% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.72 goals for Recreativo Huelva and 1.56 for Real Betis, a combined 3.28 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
65%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
58%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.5%
Recent form
Recreativo Huelva
- 2026-09-20T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Tamaraceite · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Betis C · 2-4 (L)
- 2026-09-16T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Cacereño · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Puente Genil · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Pozoblanco · 0-3 (L)
Real Betis
- 2026-10-14T19:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Porto · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-10-11T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Osasuna · 5-2 (W)
- 2026-09-20T16:30:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo La Coruna · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-09-17T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Getafe · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-09-14T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Villarreal · 2-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 64.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.
It puts both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
A 65% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.