RED Star FC 93 vs Nancy Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for RED Star FC 93 and 1.01 for Nancy, a combined total of 2.28. That distribution gives RED Star FC 93 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.

Model pick

Home/Draw

70.7% probability

High confidenceLow data42/100

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.01

Model version

poisson-v2

Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Why the model likes this

Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.

RED Star FC 93 home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Nancy away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Match result (1X2)

RED Star FC 93 win43%

Draw28%

Nancy win29%

Double chance 1X

71%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%

Over 2.5 goals40%

Over 3.5 goals20%

Both teams to score46%

Correct score

1–113.1%
1–013.0%
0–110.3%
0–010.2%
2–18.4%

Recent form

RED Star FC 93

2026-09-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Guingamp · 3-1 (W)
2026-09-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Metz · 1-0 (W)
2026-09-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Laval · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-29T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Reims · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-21T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Boulogne · 1-1 (D)

Nancy

2026-10-02T16:30:00.000Z · A vs FC Saarbrücken · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-18T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Rodez · 4-3 (W)
2026-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Reims · 1-2 (L)
2026-09-07T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Nantes · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dunkerque · 2-0 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-02-13T19:00:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 2-1 Nancy (Ligue 2)
2025-09-19T18:00:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 1-0 Nancy (Ligue 2)
2024-03-22T18:30:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 1-1 Nancy (Ligue 3)
2023-10-11T19:00:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 1-1 Nancy (Ligue 3)
2023-04-17T17:30:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 4-1 Nancy (Ligue 3)
2022-11-25T18:30:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 1-0 Nancy (Ligue 3)
2019-04-19T18:00:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 1-1 Nancy (Ligue 2)
2018-11-23T19:00:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 0-1 Nancy (Ligue 2)
2018-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 0-1 Nancy (Coupe de la Ligue)
2016-03-05T13:00:00.000Z · RED Star FC 93 0-2 Nancy (Ligue 2)

Ligue 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saint Etienne	8	6	1	1	13	19
2	RED Star FC 93	8	5	2	1	3	17
3	Montpellier	8	4	3	1	3	15
4	Reims	8	3	5	0	6	14
5	Nancy	8	4	1	3	2	13
6	Annecy	8	4	1	3	1	13
7	Dijon	8	3	3	2	2	12
8	PAU	8	3	2	3	1	11
9	Sochaux	8	2	5	1	-1	11
10	Metz	8	2	4	2	1	10
11	Guingamp	8	2	2	4	-3	8
12	Dunkerque	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Grenoble	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Rodez	8	2	1	5	-4	7
16	Boulogne	8	0	6	2	-2	6
17	Clermont Foot	8	0	6	2	-3	6
18	Laval	8	1	2	5	-7	5

Prediction conclusion

The model's leading selection is Home/Draw, at 70.7%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–1.

It puts both teams scoring at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.

A 71% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.

Methodology Results Log

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.