· Analysis updated 16:25 UTC
Regensdorf vs Grasshoppers Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 2.09 expected goals for Regensdorf and 2.29 for Grasshoppers, a combined total of 4.38. That distribution gives Grasshoppers the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 81% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–2 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Draw/Away
63.5% probability
Expected goals
2.09 – 2.29
Model version
poisson-v1
Cold start: only league-table or short-form data was available for these teams.
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Regensdorf home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Grasshoppers away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Grasshoppers to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 37% / 20% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.09 goals for Regensdorf and 2.29 for Grasshoppers, a combined 4.38 — an open game on paper.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
80%
Double chance X2
64%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.9%
- 2–16.3%
- 1–16.0%
- 2–35.5%
Recent form
Regensdorf
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Grasshoppers · 0-5 (L)
- 2024-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Grasshoppers · 0-9 (L)
- 2023-06-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Schöftland · 2-2 (D)
- 2023-06-10T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Grenchen · 5-5 (D)
- 2023-06-03T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Liestal · 0-4 (L)
Grasshoppers
- 2026-10-02T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Yverdon Sport · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-09-24T09:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Aarau · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-09-19T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Luzern · 1-5 (L)
- 2026-09-15T17:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Sion · 2-5 (L)
- 2026-09-12T16:00:00.000Z · A vs FC Thun · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
- 2026-08-15T16:00:00.000Z · Regensdorf 0-5 Grasshoppers (Schweizer Cup)
- 2024-08-18T14:00:00.000Z · Regensdorf 0-9 Grasshoppers (Schweizer Cup)
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Draw/Away, at 63.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 2–2.
It puts both teams scoring at 79% and over 2.5 goals at 81%.
A 64% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.