Stadio Oreste Granillo · Analysis updated 17:51 UTC
Reggina vs Enna Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.33 expected goals for Reggina and 0.90 for Enna, a combined total of 2.22. That distribution gives Reggina the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 38% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws a large share of the time.
This match has finished. The figures below are the model's estimate for the fixture, kept on the page for reference and study — they are not a betting tip, and nothing here has been edited after the final whistle.
Model pick
Reggina win
46.5% probability
Expected goals
1.33 – 0.90
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Why the model likes this
Each point below is derived from this fixture's own data — recent results, home and away splits, scoring and defensive rates and head-to-head history where it exists. Points only appear when the underlying data supports them.
Reggina home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Enna away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 5 meetings.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
75%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
54%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.3%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–010.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–09.5%
Recent form
Reggina
- 2026-10-11T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Vibonese · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-10-07T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Igea Virtus · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-10-04T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Trapani 1905 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-27T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Igea Virtus · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-09-20T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vigor Lamezia · 3-0 (W)
Enna
- 2026-10-04T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Modica · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-26T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Licata · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-09-20T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Gela · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-09-16T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Milazzo · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-09-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs AC Palermo · 0-3 (L)
Head-to-head
- 2026-04-15T13:00:00.000Z · Reggina 2-1 Enna (Serie D - Girone I)
- 2025-11-23T13:30:00.000Z · Reggina 1-0 Enna (Serie D - Girone I)
- 2025-02-23T13:30:00.000Z · Reggina 3-0 Enna (Serie D - Girone I)
- 2024-12-04T13:30:00.000Z · Reggina 1-1 Enna (Coppa Italia Serie D)
- 2024-10-23T13:30:00.000Z · Reggina 4-0 Enna (Serie D - Girone I)
Serie D - Girone I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Licata | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Vibonese | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 |
| 9 | Nissa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | AC Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Trapani 1905 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Prediction conclusion
The model's leading selection is Reggina win, at 46.5%. Its single most likely scoreline is 1–0.
It puts both teams scoring at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.
A 47% selection is expected to miss in the remaining share of matches, and football regularly produces red cards, injuries and tactical changes the data cannot see. Treat this as a probability, not a forecast of the result.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.